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Department ofEconomics

Selected Publications

The Impact of Preference Programs in Public Procurement: Evidence from Veteran Set-Asides

Audrey Guo and Rodrigo Carril

SSRN Working Papers 5303295 June 17, 2025

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Abstract

Veteran-owned businesses are given preferential treatment in the allocation of procurement contracts from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs – currently the largest civilian federal agency in terms of procurement spending. We exploit a 2016 Supreme Court ruling that significantly increased the scope of these set-asides, to study the impacts of preference programs on both the targeted businesses and procurement outcomes. The policy change increased the share of contracts awarded to the target population, service-disabled veteran-owned small businesses, and benefited not only preexisting vendors but also new entrants, including those who had previously failed to win contracts. We find no evidence of spillovers to awards by other federal agencies, no decline in competition for awards, and no deterioration of contract execution performance by vendors. These findings suggest that VA set-asides have successfully improved outcomes for the target population without imposing significant costs on the government. 

LSB Research, ECON, Audrey Guo, Working Papers