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Department ofEconomics


The Effects of State Business Taxes on Plant Closures: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance Taxation and Multi-Establishment Firms

Audrey Guo

Review of Economics and Statistics July 2021, pp.1-45

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This paper investigates the extent to which state-level differences in business taxes inuence the location decisions of multi-establishment firms. Each state in the United States administers their own unemployment insurance (UI) program, and cross-state variation leads to significant tax differences across state lines. This decentralized administration creates opposing employment incentives on the intensive and extensive margins depending on the economic conditions. Studying the locations of multi-state manufacturing firms, I find that firms are more likely to exit from high-tax states during economic downturns, but high-tax plants experience more stable employment during non-recession years.

LSB Research, ECON, Audrey Guo, 2021,